Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 3.255464 3.630263 4.036410 4.510147 5.048697 5.643206 6.350984
2025-02-16 2.692344 3.192614 3.774220 4.503918 5.399906 6.470490 7.855975
2025-02-23 2.349422 2.916617 3.611826 4.534049 5.736348 7.265784 9.382932
2025-03-02 2.042395 2.627555 3.375109 4.411629 5.829630 7.727969 10.506521
2025-03-09 1.832780 2.430457 3.221497 4.361019 5.986886 8.263910 11.767388
2025-03-16 1.662364 2.263202 3.083323 4.305106 6.114666 8.753601 13.002320
2025-03-23 1.588047 2.217902 3.103852 4.468024 6.564704 9.748813 15.116377
2025-03-30 1.476017 2.106711 3.016921 4.458904 6.747643 10.349134 16.672759
2025-04-06 1.371514 1.996366 2.919395 4.420189 6.873843 10.864214 18.143300
2025-04-13 1.232320 1.822507 2.710982 4.186610 6.658590 10.790068 18.570968
2025-04-20 1.165570 1.754000 2.658393 4.196041 6.842426 11.402346 20.304453
2025-04-27 1.123144 1.719719 2.655863 4.285472 7.167959 12.291796 22.672335
2025-05-04 1.075883 1.675690 2.636384 4.348329 7.460405 13.168478 25.176208
2025-05-11 1.029390 1.629513 2.609688 4.396044 7.730344 14.035470 27.798950
2025-05-18 0.985791 1.584740 2.581389 4.437292 7.990768 14.912351 30.579067
2025-05-25 0.919204 1.496441 2.471742 4.320393 7.935471 15.153122 31.995466
2025-06-01 0.869660 1.433995 2.402404 4.271529 8.006640 15.656471 34.082170
2025-06-08 0.823379 1.374198 2.333427 4.217046 8.059965 16.126228 36.162078
2025-06-15 0.811988 1.375196 2.373696 4.376167 8.566879 17.634131 41.036950
2025-06-22 0.777645 1.332645 2.330879 4.367268 8.718221 18.369274 44.081678
2025-06-29 0.741941 1.285417 2.276093 4.329464 8.802721 18.960309 46.849543
2025-07-06 0.684456 1.194789 2.133695 4.101350 8.446217 18.475318 46.601787
2025-07-13 0.660314 1.165163 2.106404 4.110561 8.623447 19.291603 50.152979